Big Picture - ATH Party Continues

Updated on
Big Picture - ATH Party Continues

 
  

Market Outlook

Summer trading continues as the overall markets continue to inch higher as they test new highs on what has become a daily occurrence. Nasdaq and the S&P continue in this neck-in-neck race, while the Dow 30 names are barely on the same track.

Given the measured move of the drop from previous highs and the climb back, there's still plenty of upside for this market. As it continues to follow the path of least resistance higher.

Just like we were increasing our exposure during the correction and very brief bear market of 2025. Currently, I am doing the same as the overall markets continue to hit new highs. On top of my normal consistent daily investing into the indexes and sectors. As the overall indexes hit new highs, I continue to add more to those respective indexes.


Where the buys during corrections and bear markets are contrarian buys that take a bit more guts to partake in. The new buys at highs, tend to feel like joining the party late and trying to catch up. However we've been at the party since before it began.

Sector wise, it goes without saying Tech has been leading the charge higher. While Utilities finally joined the party and closed the week at new all-time highs. Industrials, also hit new all-time highs at week's end.

Telecom stocks are flagging out ready for their chance to join the new ATH party along with the large cap Dow 30 names.

Healthcare and Bio Techs continue to be the only two dogs in this new all-time high party and should continue to be avoided until we see a clear change in their overall price action.

Going into the week ahead, I'm still holding onto this SMCI with a breakeven stop, while keeping a close eye on AAPL as it continues to set up again for another tight-risk entry.

There are a few other names to keep on the radar, such as RMD, that is flagging under 260. This name is in the healthcare space we want to avoid, but it's also a tech name that has been leading. This is the one exception to the healthcare-avoiding rule right now.

With utilities breaking out, EXC is setting up for a nice base breakout through 44, while energy name WMB is setting up for a textbook breakout through 60. Lastly, WMT, in the lagging Dow 30 camp, has been getting tight near support. If it aims to hold this support area, there is a tight 96 support buyback setting up vs 94 to be in and prepared for the 100 breakout down the road when the Dow 30 names finally join the party and take out all-time highs.


                                                                                   



From Bennett

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Macro Rotation Outlook

SPY
Dow Jones
Nasdaq 
Mid Caps
Small Caps

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Sector Rotation

Sensitive -  sectors that have moderate correlations to overall market conditions. 


Tech
Energy 
Industrial
Telecom

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Cyclical - sectors that are more sensitive overall market conditions.
 
Materials
Consumer Discretionary
Financials
REIT

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Defensive - sectors that tend to outperforming during sub par market conditions.

Consumer Staples
Healthcare
Bio Tech
Utilities
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Big Picture Set Up's

AAPL

EXC

RMD
SMCI

WMB


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Terms and Conditions Big Picture Trading (“Company”) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or urgencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. The independent contractors and employees or affiliates of Company may hold positions in the stocks, or industries discussed here. You understand and acknowledge that there is a very high degree of risk involved in trading securities. The Company, the authors, the publisher, and all affiliates of Company assume no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Past results of any individual trader or trading system published by Company are not indicative of future returns by that trader or system, and are not indicative of future returns which be realized by you. In addition, the indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features of Company’s products (collectively, the “Information”) are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
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